The aggressive expansion of artificial intelligence (AI) data centers is absorbing a massive portion of U.S. transportation capacity, further accelerating the rise of freight costs. Driven by hyperscale operators, U.S. data center capacity is projected to surge from 24 gigawatts (GW) to 110 GW between 2026 and 2030. Because each gigawatt of expansion requires roughly 100,000 truckloads to move essential heavy components such as generators, cooling systems, power modules, and structural steel, this upcoming buildout is expected to demand an astounding 8.6 million additional truckloads over the next four years, according to a new defense report released by the Transportation & Logistics and Services Infrastructure investment banking team at Brown Gibbons Lang & Company (BGL).
This unprecedented demand is colliding with a sharply diminished pool of U.S. truckload capacity. Due to a severe post-2022 market downturn, large public carriers have slashed their active truck counts by 15.5%, and when combined with the broader fleet attrition discussed above, this has driven the driver per- truck ratio down to a tight 0.9:1. The massive data center push is creating two distinct pressures on the logistics sector:
• Squeezing Other Shippers: Data center equipment providers are competing directly against construction, energy, and heavy manufacturing for open-deck and specialized heavy-haul equipment. This intense competition is sidelining other construction projects, bleeding into broader transport categories, and threatening to act as an anchor that slows down technology growth.
• Geographic Capacity Dislocation: Political opposition and local bans have forced nearly 70% of new data centers into remote, rural destinations (e.g., North Dakota). Sending drivers and equipment to these isolated locations dislocates truck capacity away from primary freight lanes (such as retail), making it difficult and expensive for subsequent users to access equipment once the trucks are unloaded.
Historically, the market has experienced strong turnover and a driver shortage in the trucking industry. The recent surge in energy-focused infrastructure development is having an additional impact on the driver labor pool, which may further constrain capacity in the broader freight market.
• Shift to High-Value Specialized Roles: Logistics demand is pivoting heavily away from standard retail dry-van freight toward open-deck, flatbed, and heavy-haul trucking. Moving multi-ton generators, transformers, and cooling systems requires advanced driver certifications, extra cargo-securing skills, and oversize-load experience. Because specialized equipment demand heavily outstrips supply, driver compensation in these complex divisions is expected to remain high for years to come and may pull drivers from traditional over the road trucking jobs.
• Permanent Geographic Dislocation: New data center projects in remote, rural destinations pull drivers far from traditional consumer freight lanes, creating structural inefficiencies where carriers must log excessive empty miles (“deadhead”) just to safely reposition a truck for its next pickup.
• Continuous Freight Lifecycle: Long-term driver demand will not disappear once physical facility construction is complete. While the initial wave concentrates pressure on flatbed and heavy-haul assets, the market eventually transitions into a permanent equipping and scaling phase. The freight mix smoothly shifts toward hauling server racks and advanced electronics, ensuring sustained, multi-year cargo volume for specialized logistics networks.
About BGL’s Transportation & Logistics Services and Infrastructure Team
BGL’s Transportation & Logistics Services and Infrastructure investment bankers have executed numerous transactions in maritime and offshore, trucking and logistics, transportation infrastructure, supply chain, and passenger transport. Our team specializes in advising on mergers and acquisitions in the logistics and transportation industry, balance sheet management and restructuring, management advice, board advisory, and private debt and capital raises.




















